RBI rate hikes ahead? BofA sees 100 bps repo rate increase through H1 2027

 Bank of America Securities anticipates that the Reserve Bank of India will implement significant interest rate hikes by mid-2027. They have adjusted their forecast for the initial hike to October instead of December, predicting a cumulative increase of 100 basis points, resulting in a terminal rate of 6.25 percent. This expectation is bolstered by economic growth and inflation concerns, but any slowdown in the economy could impact the RBI’s strategy. Bank of America Securities anticipates that the Reserve Bank of India will implement significant interest rate hikes by mid-2027. They have adjusted their forecast for the initial hike to October instead of December, predicting a cumulative increase of 100 basis points, resulting in a terminal rate of 6.25 percent. This expectation is bolstered by economic growth and inflation concerns, but any slowdown in the economy could impact the RBI’s strategy.